Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - Round 31

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion u Kranjčevićevoj ulici (Zagreb)

Referee: Romic O. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	MAX Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Rudeš		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.7	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.95
	4.12	3.36	1.98
	4.12	3.36	1.95
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.71	3.58	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.35)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudeš
24.7%

Draw
27.1%

Varaždin
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.6%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudeš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudeš than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Rudeš - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rudeš will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Varaždin will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Markovic M. (C) 26. Karacic F. 5. Mrcela T. 18. Camara A. 42. Kruslin V. 24. Kuzmanic M. 19. Topic F. 10. Latkovic A. 23. Masala R. 30. Korac D. 25. Dolezal J.	1. Zelenika O. (G) 28. Skaricic L. 6. Nekic I. (C) 5. Ba L. 19. Vukcevic M. 24. Marina M. 8. Postonjski I. 20. Mistrafovic D. 17. Mitrovski D. 22. Dabro M. 9. Drozdek D.
Substitutes
13. Ali S. 20. Brajkovic R. 33. Ciban E. (G) 11. Grezda E. 6. Kunert B. 16. Magdjinski L. 4. Pavkovic L. 14. Petkovic V. 29. Sehic E. 34. Speljak K. 22. Stipic M. 2. Vujanic V.	29. Domjanic N. 27. Gudelj T. 2. Lesjak S. 34. Levanic T. 7. Poldrugac J. 11. Sego M. 18. Segovic V. 12. Silic J. (G) 13. Vuk L. 30. Vukusic A.
Coaches
Mladina D.	Safaric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Postonjski I. ⚽,
31', Marina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Topic F. ↓, Petkovic V. ↑,
56', Kuzmanic M. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
56', Masala R. ↓, Grezda E. ↑,
56', Korac D. ↓, Magdjinski L. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Dabro M. ⚽, Nekic I. (A),
68', Skaricic L. 🟨,
70', Dabro M. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
71', Mitrovski D. ↓, Segovic V. ↑,
77', Camara A. ↓, Ali S. ↑,
83', Drozdek D. ↓, Vuk L. ↑,
84', Sego M. 🟨,
85', Karacic F. 🟨,
90', Mistrafovic D. ↓, Lesjak S. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 7).

Rudeš is Relegated to Prva NL

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rudeš won 1.

Rudeš has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Varaždin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varaždin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rudeš have a series of home games.

Varaždin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rudeš won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rudeš won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rudeš
Croatian HNL
12.04.24	Rudeš - Slaven Belupo	1:3 ✺
05.04.24	Rudeš - Osijek	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Rudeš - Rijeka	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Rudeš - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rudeš	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
17.04.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Slaven Belupo - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Varaždin - Gorica	2:4 ✺
15.03.24	Osijek - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
09.02.24	Varaždin - Rudeš	1:0
28.10.23	Rudeš - Varaždin	0:0
12.08.23	Varaždin - Rudeš	2:0
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Rudeš - Varaždin	0:1
Croatian Prva NL
30.04.22	Rudeš - Varaždin	3:0
31.10.21	Varaždin - Rudeš	2:1
Club Friendly
13.01.21	Varaždin - Rudeš	4:0

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