Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Setúbal		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.15	3.15	3.15
	2.26	3.25	2.8
	2.4	3.16	3.01
	2.29	3.42	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)	3.26 ↑ (3)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
40.6%

Draw
28.1%

Oliveirense
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

Recent matches Setúbal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oliveirense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Setúbal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
09.04.22	Leiria - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Setúbal - Braga B	2:2 ✺
20.03.22	Oliveirense - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Setúbal - Alverca	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Cova De Piedade - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWT
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
08.04.22	Braga B - Oliveirense	3:3 ✺
03.04.22	Oliveirense - Leiria	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Oliveirense - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Oliveirense - Lusitânia	4:4 ✺
27.02.22	Pevidem - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
20.03.22	Oliveirense - Setúbal	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
23.01.18	Setúbal - Oliveirense	2:0

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