Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Setúbal		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.8	3.1	2.33
	3.04	3.33	2.41
	2.83	3.14	2.34	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.64)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	2.38 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
32.5%

Draw
29.1%

Alverca
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Setúbal - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Setúbal will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Setúbal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alverca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Setúbal - Vilar de Perdizes	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Setúbal - Caldas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Alverca - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Alverca - Caldas	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Machico - Alverca	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.22	Alverca - Fontinhas	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.09.22	Alverca - Rio Maior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.03.22	Setúbal - Alverca	1:0
08.12.21	Alverca - Setúbal	0:3

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