Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 15

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)


	Setúbal		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.38	4.5	6.5
	1.4	4.49	6.99
	1.4	4.49	6.99
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.37	4.55	6.99
	1.38	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.5 ↑ (3.91)	6.93 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
66.5%

Draw
20.3%

Real SC
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Setúbal is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.01.24	Louletano - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Setúbal - Elvas	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Setúbal - Oriental	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Penafiel - Setúbal	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.01.24	Real SC - Fabril do Barreiro	3:3 ✺
17.12.23	Real SC - Oriental	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Juventude de Évora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real SC - Barreirense	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Lusitano GC - Real SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.08.23	Real SC - Setúbal	2:3
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2
07.04.23	Setúbal - Real SC	1:0
26.02.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2
13.11.22	Setúbal - Real SC	3:5
30.01.22	Setúbal - Real SC	1:1
23.10.21	Real SC - Setúbal	2:1

Setúbal - Real SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide