Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.27	3.3	3.07
	2.28	3.19	3.07
	2.23	3.25	2.93
	2.29	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.61)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
40.3%

Draw
28.6%

Setúbal
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+4%)

SC Lusitânia - Setúbal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Henriques L. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Rafael ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, Duran C. (Pen),

Preview

Setúbal is Qualified for Liga 3

SC Lusitânia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Setúbal in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
25.05.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Setúbal - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWW
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
25.05.24	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	União de Santarém - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Setúbal - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Setúbal - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	Setúbal - SC Lusitânia	3:1

SC Lusitânia - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide