Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal) 🌤️ ...


	Setúbal		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.71	3.89	4.79
	1.69	3.65	4.55
	1.73	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.17)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)	4.35 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
53.7%

Draw
25.2%

Oliveira Hospital
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliveira Hospital might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveira Hospital could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Setúbal will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Oliveira Hospital will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Setúbal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Setúbal is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Setúbal - Real SC	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT
- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.23	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Real SC - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Real SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	2:0
05.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	3:1
22.10.22	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:1
09.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	0:1
28.08.21	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:2

Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital