Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)


	Oliveira Hospital		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.6	3.3	2.42
	2.66	3.49	2.58
	2.65	3.37	2.56	Watch
	2.58	3.18	2.46
	2.6	3.3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.93)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
35.1%

Draw
27.7%

Sporting Lisbon B
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

28%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Fernandes L. (G) 46. Balde U. 20. Caldeira B. 66. Carreira R. 8. David Bras (C) 12. Fajardo R. 28. Nascimento D. 38. Oliveira M. 3. Simao A. 19. Souza E. 7. Varela A.	51. Pinto Diogo (G) 66. Alves M. 67. Anjos L. 81. Arreiol H. 49. Barroso L. 77. Besugo R. 78. Couto M. 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 95. Taibo Dominguez L.
Substitutes
99. Cossoco P. (G) 21. Fontes I. 9. Gracio D. . Michel 11. Neiva G. 44. Pablo Veloso 17. Pinheiro L. 55. Silva T. 70. Wilson	50. Brito A. 89. Cardoso N. 80. Gomes L. 96. Justo S. 79. Marques R. 74. Pires G. (G) 71. Santos D. 82. Silva G. 44. Silva P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Felicissimo E. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Mendonca M. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Nascimento D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Balde U. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Souza E. ⚽,
62', Felicissimo E. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
62', Anjos L. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
65', Simao A. 🟨,
67', Carreira R. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', Barroso L. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
74', Goncalves F. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
79', Silva G. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
86', Varela A. ↓, Gracio D. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', Santos D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 0.

Recent matches Oliveira Hospital is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Lisbon B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira Hospital could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.24	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TWWLL
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.10.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
13.04.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
17.03.24	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2
03.12.23	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1
20.08.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	2:0
01.05.23	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3
07.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:2

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