Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon B		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2.2	3.44	3.33
	2.25	3.22	3.02	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)	3.28 ↓ (3.61)	3.24 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
43.8%

Draw
27.9%

Setúbal
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sporting B will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Setúbal will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sporting Lisbon B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Setúbal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Lisbon B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:2 ✺
05.03.23	Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLW
- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Setúbal - Real SC	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Amora - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Setúbal - Belenenses	5:2 ✺
26.02.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1
07.01.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	1:0
28.08.22	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2
14.01.22	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1
19.09.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	0:1

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