Match Info

LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Albania	SuperSport 2
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Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
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Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Sevilla		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	3	Watch
	2.40	3.10	3.10
	2.65	2.92	2.95	Watch
	2.77	3	3.18
	2.54	3.06	3.06	Watch
	2.75	2.8	3.1
	2.7	3.02	3.19	Watch
	2.7	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.27)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
36.4%

Draw
32.4%

Rayo Vallecano
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	43.7%	6.2%

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sevilla (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 12. Sangante A. 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 6. Agoume L. 27. Guilen N. 30. Sierra M. 18. Guridi J. 19. Oso 16. Romero I.	13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 6. Ciss P. 20. Balliu I. 23. Valentin O. (C) 8. Lopez U. 7. Palazon I. 19. de Frutos J. 18. Garcia A. 11. Nteka R.
Substitutes
39. Altozano E. 28. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 5. Castrin 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 34. Munoz I. 10. Peque 37. Sow I. 9. Ure R. 11. Vargas R.	9. Alemao 34. Alonso Martin I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 22. Fernandez P. 27. Lozano S. 21. Perez F. 31. Roman M. 33. Vertrouwd J.
Coaches
Garcia L.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
45+3', Romero I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Romero I. ↓, Ure R. ↑,
46', Guilen N. ↓, Peque ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Guridi J. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Guridi J. 🟨,
64', Palazon I. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
65', Nteka R. ↓, Alemao ↑,
67', Garcia A. 🟨,
70', Sierra M. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
70', Garcia A. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
75', Lopez U. 🟨,
76', Perez F. 🟨,
78', Oso ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
78', Lopez U. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
79', Valentin O. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
81', Suazo G. 🟨,
82', Guridi J. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
88', Salas K. 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, Peque (Penalty Awarded),
90+12', Agoume L. 🟨,
90+12', Alemao 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 3.

Sevilla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Sevilla has had a series of away games.

Sevilla could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mendez D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:15. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Rayo Vallecano: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 28.37%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Sevilla - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Córdoba - Sevilla	0:1 penalties ✺
19.07.26	Cracovia - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
26.07.26	Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Hearts - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.05.26	Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
28.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	0:1
01.03.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	1:1
24.11.24	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
05.02.24	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	1:2
07.10.23	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:2
19.02.23	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	1:1

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