Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Sevilla B		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.35	3	2.18
	3.56	3.16	2.17
	4.05	2.98	2.05	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.15
	3.29	2.93	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.92)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
26.5%

Draw
30.8%

Atlético Madrid B
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

31.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (C) 31. Alcaide E. 28. Castillo M. 10. Collado A. 22. Dasilva L. 23. Dominguez I. 20. Fattore V. 27. Guillen N. 14. Jalade R. 4. Munoz I. 6. Rivera P.	13. Esquivel S. (G) 10. Belaid R. 18. Bellotti M. 4. Bonar J. (C) 30. Llorente M. 9. Llorente R. 5. Martinez D. 14. Morcillo J. 23. Ortiz A. 22. Perovic M. 12. Spina G.
Substitutes
8. Altozano E. 29. Bornes P. 9. Costa A. 39. da Silva A. 24. Espineira A. 12. Kpebane T. 3. Lopez D. 2. Moreno J. 15. Pedraza J. 1. Romero R. (G) 26. Sow B. 17. Sow I.	20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 7. Luque I. 17. Monserrate J. 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 21. Sits D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Belaid R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Belaid R. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
57', Llorente M. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
65', Rivera P. ↓, Kpebane T. ↑,
67', Spina G. 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, Luque I. ⚽,
75', Collado A. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
75', Dominguez I. ↓, Pedraza J. ↑,
86', Alcaide E. ↓, Altozano E. ↑,
86', Dasilva L. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
87', Llorente R. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
88', Sow I. 🟥,
90+1', Bellotti M. 🟨,
90+4', Pedraza J. 🟨,
90+6', Spina G. 🟨,
90+7', Perovic M. ↓, Corral A. ↑,
90+7', Ortiz A. ↓, Barboza M. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Fattore V. ⚽,
90+8', Fattore V. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Sevilla B is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético Madrid B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sevilla B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Madrid B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sevilla B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla B - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.16%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.26	Cartagena - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sevilla B - Teruel	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sevilla B - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	1:0
11.05.25	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:0
14.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	0:1

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