Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Ibiza		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.32	2.98	3.1
	2.38	2.98	3.4
	2.37	2.89	3.33	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.29	2.81	3.26
	2.25	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.52)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
39.7%

Draw
31.8%

Atlético Madrid B
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 7. Bebe 11. Castillo F. 18. Indias I. 21. Kembo Y. 17. Medina U. (C) 4. Monjonell E. 14. Nsukula G. 16. Pedreno M. 10. Svensson M. 24. Valls T.	1. de Luis M. (G) 18. Bellotti M. 4. Bonar J. 19. Corral A. 3. Diaz J. 30. Llorente M. 7. Luque I. 26. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 23. Ortiz A. 15. Puric A.
Substitutes
3. Albert J. 9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 2. Diez S. 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 28. Incera I. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	20. Barboza M. 29. Belaid R. 8. Castillo J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 33. Morales L. (G) 24. Najera R. . Perovic M. 6. Serrano J. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Castillo F. ⚽,
45', Puric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Ortiz A. 🟨,
64', Bebe 🟨,
68', Bellotti M. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
73', Diaz J. 🟨,
76', Bebe ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
76', Svensson M. ↓, Incera I. ↑,
82', Monserrate J. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
82', Luque I. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
83', Sits D. 🟨,
84', Nsukula G. ↓, Davo ↑,
88', Llorente M. ↓, Koke ↑,
88', Morcillo J. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
89', Castillo F. ↓, Albert J. ↑,
89', Valls T. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
90+4', Albert J. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ibiza - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLT
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	CE Europa - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	2:0
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	1:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	0:0
12.10.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
21.04.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
23.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.11.19	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	1:2

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