Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)


	Sevilla B		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.85	3.25	4.33
	2.19	2.31	5.27
	2.06	2.4	5.69
	1.85	3.27	4.25
	1.62	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.63)	2.94 ↓ (3.42)	4.74 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
48.6%

Draw
31.7%

UCAM Murcia
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

27.1%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla B's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bueno M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Pina F. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Sevilla B is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	Vélez - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Marbella - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Sevilla B - Linense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Racing Cartagena MM - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cadiz CF B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	0:0
22.01.23	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	1:0
04.09.22	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.03.22	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	0:2
23.10.21	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.01.21	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	2:3
18.10.20	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	0:1

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