Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.75	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.36	4.49
	1.81	3.36	4.49
	1.75	3.29	4.83
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)	3.34 ↑ (3.08)	4.58 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
52.4%

Draw
27.5%

San Roque de Lepe
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

30%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

29.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UCAM Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). San Roque de Lepe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, Urzain F. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.04.24	Racing Cartagena MM - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cadiz CF B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Manchego - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	San Roque de Lepe - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Linense - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.12.23	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	3:0
11.03.23	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
23.10.22	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	1:2
23.04.16	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	0:0
06.12.15	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:2
01.05.15	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	0:0
14.12.14	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:2

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