Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group B

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Laaksolahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	SexyPöxyt		Honka

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.2	1.68
	4	4.2	1.68
	4.01	4.23	1.68
	4.01	4.23	1.68
	3.92	4.24	1.7
	3.65	4.4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.18)	4.25 ↑ (4.02)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SexyPöxyt
23.8%

Draw
21.6%

Honka
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

23%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

19.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SexyPöxyt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SexyPöxyt's form might have worsened.

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SexyPöxyt than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SexyPöxyt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SexyPöxyt - Honka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Korkiakoski T. (G) 3. Ahvonen N. 24. Alaeddine A. 65. Kulp O. (C) 15. Kuusisto V. 41. Larsson K. 11. Leivo J. 18. Marshall P. 37. Ollikainen O. 27. Suka Ermir 45. Vaatainen V.	30. Vaananen T. (C) 14. Bragge A. 16. Davidyan E. 7. Desalegen M. 11. Goshnaw A. 23. Kantelinen S. 4. Poyry F. 15. Simonov I. 25. Tukia O. 56. Velasquez A. 20. Vesterbacka L.
Substitutes
14. Gardemeister J. 29. Isohanni A. 95. Jaakkola T. 23. Lindstrom J. 22. Ojanen J. 1. Terava A. (G)	54. Ahokas B. 17. Hayes D. 19. Pinomaa A. 22. Pitkanen A. 24. Ritamies J. 21. Tacza S. 1. Tanska J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Poyry F. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Velasquez A. ⚽,
22', Ollikainen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Suka Ermir ↓, Ojanen J. ↑,
53', Alaeddine A. 🟨,
57', Desalegen M. ↓, Ahokas B. ↑,
59', Marshall P. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
59', Vaatainen V. ↓, Isohanni A. ↑,
61', Alaeddine A. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Kantelinen S. ⚽,
73', Kantelinen S. ↓, Pitkanen A. ↑,
73', Kuusisto V. ↓, Gardemeister J. ↑,
80', Ahvonen N. ↓, Jaakkola T. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Goshnaw A. ⚽,
86', Velasquez A. ↓, Pinomaa A. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: )).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Pöxyt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Honka is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SexyPöxyt
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
12.05.24	Inter Turku II - SexyPöxyt	4:1 ✺
08.05.24	SexyPöxyt - Tampere United	0:5 ✺
04.05.24	SexyPöxyt - Esbo Bollklubb	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	VJS Vantaa - SexyPöxyt	6:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ilves-Kissat - SexyPöxyt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
12.05.24	Honka - Ilves 2	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Honka - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
28.04.24	Inter Turku II - Honka	5:3 ✺
24.04.24	Honka - Esbo Bollklubb	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	VJS Vantaa - Honka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

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