Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)

Referee: Mahamat A. (Cha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Nigeria	NTA Sports
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Lesotho		Nigeria

	1	X	2
	41	13	1.05	Watch
	60	13	1.03
	19.5	9.8	1.05
	19.88	7.68	1.11	Watch
	47	15.9	1.06	Watch
	15	4.75	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	33.73 ↑ (15)	10.69 ↑ (4.75)	1.1 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lesotho
2.9%

Draw
9%

Nigeria
88.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.3%

19.8%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nigeria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Lesotho - Nigeria Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Nigeria will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nigeria: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nigeria will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moerane S. (G) Orbit College 4. Makhele T. Siwelele 2. Malane T. 3. Matlabe F. 7. Matsau L. 5. Mkwanazi M. Kruger United 6. Mokokoane R. Defence Force 10. Motebang S. Royal AM 9. Rapuleng K. Majantja 8. Toloane T. Defence Force 11. Tsotleho J. Lijabatho	23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 10. Arokodare T. Wolves 21. Bassey C. Fulham 2. Godwin F. Mjondalen 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 4. Ndidi W. Besiktas 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 9. Osimhen V. Galatasaray 15. Simon M. Paris FC 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) Al Kholood
Coaches
Notsi L.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Troost-Ekong W. (Pen),
59', Tsotleho J. ↓, Sefali T. ↑,
62', Arokodare T. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
64', Lookman A. 🟨,
71', Lookman A. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
74', Motebang S. ↓, Mokhachane N. ↑,
74', Toloane T. ↓, Kalake H. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Adams A. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
83', 1 - 2, Kalake H. ⚽,
84', Rapuleng K. ↓, Mphaolole M. ↑,
89', Simon M. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
89', Osimhen V. ↓, Ajayi S. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Nigeria is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lesotho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lesotho
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Benin - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Lesotho - South Africa	0:3 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Namibia - Lesotho	3:0 ✺
08.06.25	Angola - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
05.06.25	Malawi - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Nigeria
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	South Africa - Nigeria	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
19.08.25	Nigeria - Congo	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Sudan - Nigeria	4:0 ✺
05.08.25	Senegal - Nigeria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Nigeria - Lesotho	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
30.03.21	Nigeria - Lesotho	3:0
17.11.19	Lesotho - Nigeria	2:4

Lesotho - Nigeria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide