Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax)


	Sfaxien		Monastir

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.52	2.98
	2.72	2.64	3.21
	3.11	2.64	2.63	Watch
	2.66	2.74	3.03	Watch
	2.12	2.84	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.09)	2.68 ↓ (2.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sfaxien
35.2%

Draw
34.8%

Monastir
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

31.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

34.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sfaxien's form might have worsened.

Monastir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monastir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sfaxien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monastir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sfaxien - Monastir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monastir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Monastir (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monastir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 11. Belwafi I. 3. Ben Ali O. 13. Derbali R. 4. Habchia Y. 12. Mutyaba T. 18. Ogbole E. 7. Onana W. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.	22. Hallaoui A. (G) 16. Amor M. 8. Amri Y. 13. Azzouz R. 7. Dridi Y. 29. Gadiaga I. 15. Haj Ali M. 10. Harzi A. 3. Herch Y. 26. Zammouri N. 5. Zeguei N. F.
Substitutes
22. Absi M. 23. Aidi M. 9. Ben Ali M. A. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 19. Karoui N. 10. Maaloul A. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 25. Sekkouhi F. 6. Taifour A.	. Benga A. . Ben Youssef F. 27. Douihech N. . El Djebali C. 33. Elhmidi M. . Ghorbel M. 40. Sabeur S. 12. Sidibe A. 24. Slimane A. (G) 11. Yaakoubi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Dridi Y. 🟨,
39', Ouedraogo H. ↓, Sekkouhi F. ↑,
45+1', Amri Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gadiaga I. ↓, Ben Youssef F. ↑,
50', Derbali R. 🟨,
52', Dahmen A. 🟨,
69', Ben Ali O. ↓, Maaloul A. ↑,
70', Amri Y. ↓, Elhmidi M. ↑,
78', Ogbole E. ↓, Ben Ali M. A. ↑,
80', Elhmidi M. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 0.

In recent matches, Sfaxien has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monastir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monastir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sfaxien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
20.09.25	Gabès - Sfaxien	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Club Africain - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
28.08.25	Sfaxien - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Métlaoui - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWL
- US Monastir
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.25	Monastir - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
21.09.25	East End Lions - Monastir	0:4 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
17.09.25	Zarzis - Monastir	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Monastir - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Marsa - Monastir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.03.25	Sfaxien - Monastir	0:0
10.11.24	Monastir - Sfaxien	1:1
17.03.24	Sfaxien - Monastir	0:1
03.01.24	Sfaxien - Monastir	0:0
21.10.23	Monastir - Sfaxien	1:0
30.06.23	Monastir - Sfaxien	1:1
16.05.23	Sfaxien - Monastir	0:0

Sfaxien - Monastir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide