Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 10

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Sfera U20		São José-SP U20

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.4
	1.58	3.9	4.45
				Watch
	1.61	3.9	4.51
	1.57	4.15	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	3.99 ↓ (4.45)	4.48 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfera U20
57.2%

Draw
22.6%

São José-SP U20
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

15.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfera U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

São José-SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sfera U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP U20 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Sfera U20 - São José SP U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sfera U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sfera U20 (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sfera U20 (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Santana K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 🟥,
66', 2 - 0, Gentil L. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽,

Preview

Sfera U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

São José-SP U20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sfera U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sfera U20 is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sfera FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	Sfera U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:1 ✺
06.06.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Sfera U20	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Itapirense U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Velo Clube U20 - Sfera U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLT
- São José-SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.06.25	São José-SP U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Itapirense U20 - São José-SP U20	2:2 ✺
06.06.25	São José-SP U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	São Caetano U20 - São José-SP U20	4:2 ✺
23.05.25	São José-SP U20 - Velo Clube U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL

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