The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sha Tin 46.4%
Draw 24.2%
Hong Kong FC 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
25.8%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
23.5%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sha Tin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Hong Kong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sha Tin than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hong Kong FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Sha Tin - Hong Kong FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Lau B. (G) 45. Ansah M. 30. Arthur J. 20. Dantas M. 11. Kametani H. 28. Lai H. 8. Lam Hok-Hei 31. Law Tsz-Chun (C) 46. Leung L. 9. Scott J. 47. Takatori S.
25. Poon Sheung-Hei (G) 6. Bah M. H. 16. Benavides Medeiros O. J. 9. Bleda M. 10. Coleman C. 5. Hayashi R. 22. Ho Chun J. 67. McGunnigle C. 75. Mirwasser W. 8. Weston C. (C) 19. Yiu Ho-Ming
Substitutes
77. Aldalur A. 13. Chan Man-Fai 73. Chiu C. 26. Chung L. 10. Lam K. 29. Liu H. 5. Ng T. 22. So Tsz-Yin 25. Tong C. (G) 3. Wong C. 7. Wong C. 1. Wong T. (G)
44. Bennie J. 3. Bloxham C. 4. Dujardin A. 14. Ho T. 12. Kwan H. 97. Lam H. H. 17. Leung T. 71. Li C. H. 18. Mak T. (G) 28. Wong A. 95. Wong Tsz-Chung (G) 2. Yeung H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Scott J. ⚽,
32', Hayashi R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Benavides Medeiros O. J. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 2, Bleda M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Lai H. 🟨,
49', Bleda M. 🟨,
55', Lai H. ↓, Lam K. ↑,
59', Arthur J. ↓, Aldalur A. ↑,
64', Leung L. 🟨,
70', Benavides Medeiros O. J. ↓, Wong A. ↑,
77', McGunnigle C. ↓, Bennie J. ↑,
77', Yiu Ho-Ming ↓, Lam H. H. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Kametani H. ⚽,
80', Bennie J. 🟨,
83', Lam Hok-Hei ↓, Liu H. ↑,
83', Leung L. ↓, So Tsz-Yin ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+1', Bleda M. ↓, Ho T. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th and 10th).
Sha Tin has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
HKFC has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sha Tin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sha Tin has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, HKFC has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sha Tin holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sha Tin has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.
Specifically in home fixtures for Sha Tin against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.