Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tai Po Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc, RTHK TV 31


	Wofoo Tai Po		Hong Kong FC

	1	X	2
	1.23	6.00	7.75
	1.19	5.9	8.8
	1.23	6.32	8.76
	1.21	6.41	9.36	Watch
	1.19	6.15	8.4
	1.19	6.2	10.1
	1.21	6.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.15)	6.17 ↓ (8.3)	8.88 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
75.1%

Draw
14.7%

Hong Kong FC
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.4%

11.1%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wofoo Tai Po's form might have worsened.

Hong Kong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 7. Chang H. M. 6. Chan H. P. 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 10. Fernando (C) 4. Leo Rigo 15. Mesquita G. 25. Murilo 8. Nando Welter 13. Sim S. 79. Wallisson Bahia	25. Poon Sheung-Hei (G) 6. Bah M. H. 9. Bleda M. 3. Bloxham C. 10. Coleman C. 4. Dujardin A. 5. Hayashi R. 11. Johns D. 7. Montesinos L. 8. Weston C. (C) 19. Yiu Ho-Ming
Substitutes
17. Chu King-To 19. Kwok Y. 1. Lo S. (G) 9. Paulinho 20. Wong Hin-Sum 28. Wong Sum-Chit Sherman	16. Benavides Medeiros O. J. 22. Ho Chun J. 12. Kwan H. 97. Lam H. H. 17. Leung T. 71. Li C. H. 18. Mak T. (G) 75. Mirwasser W. 28. Wong A. 95. Wong Tsz-Chung (G) 2. Yeung H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Bleda M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Bleda M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nando Welter ↓, Paulinho ↑,
54', Wallisson Bahia 🟨,
59', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Wong Hin-Sum ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Chang H. M. ⚽,
68', Johns D. ↓, Mirwasser W. ↑,
72', Yiu Ho-Ming ↓, Ho Chun J. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Bleda M. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Montesinos L. 🟨,
84', Dujardin A. ↓, Benavides Medeiros O. J. ↑,
85', Chan H. P. 🟨,
90+4', Tse Ka-Wing 🟨,
90+4', Murilo 🟨,
90+4', Benavides Medeiros O. J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 4.

Tai Po may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tai Po is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tai Po won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tai Po	4	2	0	2	8:7	1	6
11	Hong Kong FC	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong Premier League
05.09.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	North District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:0 ✺
Hong Kong FA Cup
30.05.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
06.09.26	Hong Kong FC - Lee Man	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
01.02.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong FC	2:0
07.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2
Hong Kong League Cup
15.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	0:3
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
22.03.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3
Hong Kong Premier League
09.02.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	0:4
05.01.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:0
23.11.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong FC	2:1

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