Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Shabab Al-Ghazieh		Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.03	3.25	3.25
	2.09	3.39	3.35
	2.05	3.26	3.28	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)	3.26 ↑ (3.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
44.3%

Draw
27.9%

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage)).

Al-Ghazieh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Akhaa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Ghazieh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Ghazieh will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
04.12.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tripoli	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Salam Zgharta - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0 ✺
21.10.22	Nejmeh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL
- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
03.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
25.11.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Bourj	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
02.05.15	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	2:1

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