Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Tripoli		Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.5
	2.04	2.88	3.56
	2.09	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.06	2.9	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.06)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	3.63 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tripoli
43.7%

Draw
31.5%

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

31%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Tripoli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Akhaa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tripoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tripoli to win the game is with odds 2.06.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tripoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tripoli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Premier League
27.01.23	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	3:2 ✺
15.01.23	Tripoli - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 TWWWT
- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
27.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Hekmeh	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
25.11.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:2
30.04.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tripoli	2:0
15.03.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:1
09.12.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tripoli	1:2
09.12.17	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:3

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