Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al Sahel		Shabab Al-Ghazieh

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.33
	1.58	3.85	4.8	Watch
	1.52	3.82	5.37
	1.55	3.84	5.43
	1.61	3.8	4.2
	1.51	3.78	5.81	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	4.96 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al Sahel
58%

Draw
23.8%

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al Sahel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (-3%)

Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al Ghazieh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Kadiri S. (Pen),
45+3', 2 - 0, Kadiri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Jaafar H. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Shabab Al Sahel won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match, Shabab Al Sahel is a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al Sahel won 7 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3 (average 2.1:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams, Shabab Al Sahel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
25.04.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Racing Beirut	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	1:8 ✺
15.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
24.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	1:4 ✺
18.04.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
03.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0
27.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
17.03.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0
04.02.24	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0
03.11.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
19.02.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2
21.01.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	2:1

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