Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al-Ghazieh		Racing Beirut

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.65	3.25	2.43
	2.72	3.09	2.52	Watch
	2.59	3.15	2.46
	2.65	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)	2.45 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Racing Beirut
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Racing Beirut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Beirut than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Shabab Al Ghazieh - Racing Beirut Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Shweikh H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Abou Jabal I. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Ayinde Y. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Al-Ghazieh is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Racing have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
29.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:4 ✺
03.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tadamon Sour	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLLW
- Racing Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
30.03.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Racing Beirut - Hekmeh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Racing Beirut - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Racing Beirut - Bourj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
06.02.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1
27.08.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	2:3
05.10.18	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	2:1

Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide