Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lebanon	MTV One
World	FIFA+


	Racing Beirut		Bourj

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	1.95	3.11	3.67
	2.29	3.09	3.05	Watch
	2.13	2.91	3.9	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.44)	3.01 ↓ (3.31)	3.28 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Beirut
41.7%

Draw
30.4%

Bourj
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Beirut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Bourj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bourj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Beirut than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bourj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Beirut - Bourj Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Kazan J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Fall A. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Bourj has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
01.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Racing Beirut	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Baalbeck	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Racing Beirut	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWT
- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
01.05.25	Bourj - Shabab Baalbeck	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	1:4 ✺
19.04.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bourj - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
26.02.25	Racing Beirut - Bourj	1:0
20.06.24	Racing Beirut - Bourj	1:2
10.05.24	Racing Beirut - Bourj	0:0
02.03.24	Racing Beirut - Bourj	1:1
20.08.23	Bourj - Racing Beirut	1:1

Racing Beirut - Bourj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide