Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lebanon	MTV Sports


	Shabab Al Sahel		Nejmeh

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.5	1.5
	6.73	3.84	1.43
	6.89	3.84	1.47	Watch
	6.5	3.5	1.44
	7.27	3.94	1.48
	7	3.8	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↓ (7)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al Sahel
13.4%

Draw
24.3%

Nejmeh
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

24.2%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

23.4%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nejmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, El Fadl A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al Sahel won 1.

Shabab Al Sahel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nejmeh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nejmeh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nejmeh is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al Sahel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al Sahel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nejmeh SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Al Sahel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Nejmeh - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 62.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
31.01.26	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Jwaya	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLLWW
- Nejmeh SC
Lebanese Premier League
31.01.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
18.01.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
27.12.25	Nejmeh - Hekmeh	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Racing Beirut - Nejmeh	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
03.10.25	Nejmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	3:1
15.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	0:2
11.02.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	1:4
28.01.23	Nejmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0
01.10.22	Nejmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
21.01.22	Nejmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2

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