Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Shabab Baalbeck		Bourj

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	3.8	3.3	1.82	Watch
	3.94	3.19	1.85
				Watch
	3.94	3.28	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.5)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	1.97 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Baalbeck
25.4%

Draw
28.2%

Bourj
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Baalbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Baalbeck's form might have worsened.

Bourj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bourj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Baalbeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bourj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shabab Baalbeck will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bourj will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourj: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Baalbeck (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 1, Ibrahima S. ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, El Mokdad H. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Mehanna H. (Pen),

Preview

Recent performances by Shabab Baalbeck have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bourj is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shabab Baalbeck won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Baalbeck won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
25.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWLL
- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
26.06.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	0:0 ✺
13.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Bourj - Racing Beirut	0:3 ✺
01.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
01.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:1
01.05.25	Bourj - Shabab Baalbeck	0:2
Lebanese Cup
22.03.24	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:3

Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide