Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Abbassieh		Shabab Baalbeck

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
				Watch
	1.54	3.54	5.75
				Watch
	1.53	3.54	6.13	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)	3.66 ↓ (3.84)	6.35 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Abbassieh
61%

Draw
24.7%

Shabab Baalbeck
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.7%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

15.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Abbassieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Shabab Baalbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Abbassieh than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Abbassieh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+5%)

Al Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Al-Abbassieh is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Abbassieh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Abbassieh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
07.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Abbassieh	1:1 ✺
20.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	0:1 ✺
13.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLT
- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Baalbeck	2:2 ✺
13.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
13.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:1
07.02.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Abbassieh	0:0

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