Match Info

Hazfi Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Paykan		Shahrdari Noshahr

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.05	4.45
	1.00	11.45	15.00	Watch
	1.77	3.05	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	5.85 ↑ (3.05)	8.12 ↑ (4.9)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paykan
69.2%

Draw
17.9%

Shahrdari Noshahr
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

29.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

29.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paykan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paykan's performance.

Shahrdari Noshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shahrdari Noshahr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paykan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Noshahr than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahrdari Noshahr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Amiri F. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Mashayekh M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Paykan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shahrdari Noshahr is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shahrdari Noshahr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paykan is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paykan
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Paykan	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sepahan - Paykan	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Paykan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Palayesh Naft	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Fard Alborz - Shahrdari Noshahr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
29.03.25	Paykan - Shahrdari Noshahr	0:0

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