Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 12

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Stroitel Stadion (Soligorsk)

Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)


	Shakhtyor Soligorsk		Naftan

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.5	3.4	2.69
	2.51	3.4	2.69
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.64	3.54	2.58
	2.6	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.96)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
36.5%

Draw
27.6%

Naftan
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.1%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Naftan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 2. Makarenko A. 4. Shestilovskiy S. 22. Baranok N. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 77. Sotnikov N. 99. Zenkov I. (C) 49. Denisyuk A. 17. Kabyshev V. 87. Martinkevich V. 88. Kovalevich D.	13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 88. Drabatovich A. 5. Lebedev A. 6. Dinga D. 92. Shchadin A. 52. Kress E. 79. Badoev K. 11. Pranovich I. 7. Kolyadko M. (C) 17. Suchkov A. 10. Paparyga R.
Substitutes
91. Bulanov M. 32. Chernik S. (G) 71. Grivenev E. 23. Kovalevich M. 14. Lukashevich I. 47. Podbereznyi D. 11. Prigodich V. 98. Shaula N. 19. Sviridenko I. 80. Yankovski K.	31. Dzhioev A. 33. Ermidis G. 99. Kalinchenko M. 20. Marukhin V. 18. Nekrasov N. 24. Sannikov A. 1. Say D. (G) 22. Yallet K.
Coaches
Suvorov S.	Rybak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Badoev K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Martinkevich V. ↓, Kovalevich M. ↑,
66', Kabyshev V. ↓, Sviridenko I. ↑,
71', Shchadin A. ↓, Yallet K. ↑,
72', Kress E. ↓, Kalinchenko M. ↑,
80', Sotnikov N. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
83', Kalinchenko M. 🟨,
85', Sviridenko I. 🟨,
86', Paparyga R. ↓, Marukhin V. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 3.

Shakhtyor Soligorsk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Naftan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
30.05.24	Minsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
19.05.24	Dinamo Minsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - BATE Borisov	1:3 ✺
02.05.24	Neman Grodno - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.06.24	Naftan - Isloch Minsk	2:1 ✺
24.05.24	Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Naftan - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Naftan	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Naftan - Gomel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.08.23	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:1
18.03.23	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Naftan	2:1
04.11.17	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:5
20.06.17	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Naftan	2:1
28.08.16	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:1
29.04.16	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Naftan	2:0
31.10.15	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:4

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