The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 9.6%
Draw 17.7%
Isloch Minsk 72.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.1%
21.1%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
20.4%
67.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Isloch Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Isloch Minsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isloch Minsk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Naftan - Isloch Minsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 8. Stefanishin A. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 69. Khadzhiev R. 9. Yakovlev V. 24. Seleznev I. 50. Mafwenta G. 6. Adamovich K. 10. Savitskiy A. 30. Aymanov M.
1. Klimovich A. (G) 25. Makarenko A. 3. Tikhomirov I. 33. Skrobotov I. 99. Yudchits E. 7. Svirepa A. (C) 5. Volkov S. 15. Patsko N. 23. Kovalevich M. 19. Olaleye A. 11. Martynov T.
Substitutes
88. Drabatovich A. 22. Fezhenko V. 57. Galimzyanov T. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitski K. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 11. Pranovich I. 7. Tumanov A. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
17. Abramishvili S. 70. Butko A. 88. Fadeev N. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 74. Sachkovskiy M. 22. Shevchenko P. 8. Shramchenko A. 13. Stephen G. 28. Svirskiy A. (G)
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Komarovskiy D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Olaleye A. ⚽, Kovalevich M. (A),
19', Lebedev A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Yudchits E. ⚽, Kovalevich M. (A),
32', Khadzhiev R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Martynov T. ↓, Shramchenko A. ↑,
46', Seleznev I. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Svirepa A. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Shramchenko A. 🟨,
60', Kovalevich M. 🟨,
64', Savitskiy A. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
64', Aymanov M. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
67', 0 - 4, Shramchenko A. ⚽, Svirepa A. (A),
69', 0 - 5, Patsko N. ⚽, Svirepa A. (A),
74', Lebedev A. ↓, Tumanov A. ↑,
74', Adamovich K. ↓, Fezhenko V. ↑,
74', Kovalevich M. ↓, Butko A. ↑,
74', Patsko N. ↓, Stephen G. ↑,
79', Volkov S. ↓, Shevchenko P. ↑,
81', Skrobotov I. ↓, Abramishvili S. ↑,
83', Sadovskiy D. 🟨,
90', Shevchenko P. 🟨,
90', 0 - 6, Butko A. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Isloch has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, Isloch enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Naftan has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:24 (averaging 0.6:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Naftan against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
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Sadovskiy D. (G) 
Stefanishin A. 
Yakovlev V. 
Mafwenta G. 
Olaleye A. 
Abramishvili S. 
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