The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo-BelAZ 65.5%
Draw 20.8%
Naftan 13.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.6%
22.7%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
23.6%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Torpedo BelAZ - Naftan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Yurasov T. (G) 7. Bykov A. 3. Chagovets Y. 89. Frantsuzov A. 11. Lomovitskiy A. 96. Melko V. 9. Petrosyan G. 30. Pobudey V. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 13. Zaleskiy A. 68. Zhulpa D.
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 30. Aymanov M. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 88. Drabatovich A. 69. Khadzhiev R. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 50. Mafwenta G. 10. Savitskiy A. 24. Seleznev I. 8. Stefanishin A. 9. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
16. Agbo G. 66. Ageev A. 27. Gaevoy M. 20. Martyanov G. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 90. Matusevich N. 47. Nalivayko V. 10. Sharkovskiy T. 28. Yusov D. 15. Zheleznyi R.
14. Chmut I. 22. Fezhenko V. 57. Galimzyanov T. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitskiy K. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 11. Pranovich I. 7. Tumanov A. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
Coaches
Karolik D.
Khrapkovski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Savitskiy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Lomovitskiy A. ⚽, Premudrov K. (A),
63', Petrosyan G. ↓, Martyanov G. ↑,
63', Bykov A. ↓, Sharkovskiy T. ↑,
66', Zaleskiy A. 🟨,
70', Aymanov M. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
70', Drabatovich A. ↓, Pranovich I. ↑,
80', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Yusov D. ↑,
86', Lebedev A. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
90+1', Lomovitskiy A. 🟨,
90+1', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Agbo G. ↑,
90+3', Khadzhiev R. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 16th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 4.
Torpedo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Naftan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torpedo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Torpedo has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Torpedo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:19 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Torpedo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:13 goals (averaging 2.2:1.4 per game).
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Yurasov T. (G) 
Chagovets Y. 
Lomovitskiy A. 
Petrosyan G. 
Aymanov M. 
Mafwenta G. 
Agbo G. 
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