Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Torpedo (Zhodino)

Referee: Markov D. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Torpedo-BelAZ		Naftan

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.43	7.41
	1.37	4.7	9.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.57 ↓ (4.58)	8.26 ↓ (8.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-BelAZ
67.8%

Draw
20.7%

Naftan
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.5%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

18.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Torpedo BelAZ - Naftan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Naftan will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torpedo: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abramovich E. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 88. Glushchenkov K. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 96. Melko V. 14. Charyyev T. 18. Borodin D. 8. Selyava A. 7. Camara M. 23. Vasilevich I. 10. Shukurov A.	13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 52. Kress E. 5. Lebedev A. 44. Sannikov A. 23. Kingu M. 92. Leonovich K. 19. Rakhimov A. 88. Drabatovich A. 7. Kolyadko M. (C) 10. Protasov Y. 31. Roziev R.
Substitutes
22. Baranok Z. 44. Butarevich A. 13. Klimovich V. 35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 90. Perovic N. 30. Pobudey V. 19. Rutskiy I. 25. Yurasov T. (G) 72. Zheleznyi R.	1. Denisenko A. (G) 8. Ermakovich K. 99. Grudko I. 17. Kopytich A. 9. Matvey S. 11. Pranovich I. 21. Sidor I. 4. Susha A. 12. Zhvirblya A.
Coaches
Molosh D.	Stripejkis V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Camara M. ⚽, Borodin D. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Charyyev T. ⚽, Vasilevich I. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Roziev R. ⚽, Kolyadko M. (A),
35', Lebedev A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Roziev R. ⚽, Kingu M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Borodin D. ↓, Butarevich A. ↑,
46', Charyyev T. ↓, Pobudey V. ↑,
61', Vasilevich I. ↓, Klimovich V. ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Klimovich V. ⚽,
70', Kolyadko M. ↓, Kopytich A. ↑,
70', Rakhimov A. ↓, Susha A. ↑,
70', Camara M. ↓, Perovic N. ↑,
77', Leonovich K. ↓, Pranovich I. ↑,
84', Drabatovich A. ↓, Sidor I. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, Glushchenkov K. ⚽, Perovic N. (A),
87', Shukurov A. ↓, Rutskiy I. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Torpedo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
30.08.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Dinamo Brest	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWT
- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.25	Naftan - Molodechno	5:0 ✺
13.09.25	Smorgon - Naftan	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Naftan - Isloch Minsk	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Naftan - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.05.25	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:3
29.09.24	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1
12.05.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Naftan	2:1
08.10.23	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1
20.05.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - Naftan	5:0
Belarusian Cup
04.08.19	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:4
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.09.17	Torpedo-BelAZ - Naftan	1:1

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