Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Shakhtyor Taganrog		Pobeda Khasavyurt

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.65)	6.51 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Taganrog
63.9%

Draw
22.1%

Pobeda Khasavyurt
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtyor Taganrog's performance.

Pobeda Khasavyurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Taganrog than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Shakhtyor Taganrog - Pobeda Khasavyurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Stepanov D. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Suanov R. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Vagabov I. ⚽,
45+1', Suanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 1, Suanov R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Shakhtyor Taganrog has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pobeda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Shakhtyor Taganrog is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Shakhtyor Taganrog will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shahter Taganrog	25	15	5	5	47:25	22	50
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtyor Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Zarya	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Chayka 2 - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:4 ✺
08.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Rostov 2	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Dinskaya - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWT
- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Neftyanik Izberbash	7:0 ✺
16.05.26	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWL

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