Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 15
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Shamrock Rovers		Borac Banja Luka

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.5
	2.3	2.75	3.25
	2.4	2.95	3.3
	2.45	2.85	3.59
	2.37	2.87	3.39	Watch
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.47	2.87	3.52
	2.45	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.95)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
38.7%

Draw
32.8%

Borac Banja Luka
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.

Borac Banja Luka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borac Banja Luka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Shamrock Rovers - Borac Banja Luka Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Borac Banja Luka will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 2. Honohan J. 16. O'Neill G. 19. Poom M. 7. Watts D. 21. Burns D. 23. Farrugia N. 24. Kenny J.	13. Manojlovic F. (G) 93. Vukcevic M. 2. Meijers B. 24. Carolina J. 16. Herrera S. 15. Grahovac S. (C) 98. Ogrinec S. 88. Skorup D. 27. Kulasin E. 99. Despotovic D. 77. Savic S.
Substitutes
10. Burke G. 29. Byrne J. 18. Clarke T. 9. Greene A. 11. Kavanagh S. 22. Mandroiu D. 41. Noonan A. (G) 34. Noonan C. 15. Nugent D. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G)	22. Cavic D. 14. Djajic P. 11. Hrelja D. 20. Kvrzic Z. 49. Marcetic S. 4. Pejovic N. 8. Pihler A. 1. Siskovski D. (G) 7. Sreckovic N. 18. Subic A. 31. Susic S. 23. Vranjes S.
Coaches
Bradley S.	Zizovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kenny J. ⚽, Burns D. (A),
28', Honohan J. 🟨,
37', Watts D. 🟨,
39', Herrera S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Farrugia N. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
64', 3 - 0, Kenny J. ⚽, Poom M. (A),
67', Kenny J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
67', Watts D. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
67', Honohan J. ↓, Clarke T. ↑,
70', Skorup D. ↓, Sreckovic N. ↑,
70', Vukcevic M. ↓, Hrelja D. ↑,
76', Farrugia N. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
76', Poom M. ↓, Noonan C. ↑,
79', Savic S. ↓, Vranjes S. ↑,
90+1', Grace L. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Shamrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Shamrock: Gaffney R. (Injury)

There will not play in Borac Banja Luka: Cetkovic N. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Rapid Wien - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - HJK	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - The New Saints	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW
- Borac Banja Luka
Bosnian Premier League
08.12.24	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	GOŠK Gabela - Borac Banja Luka	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Borac Banja Luka - Sloga Doboj	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Borac Banja Luka - LASK Linz	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
20.11.24	Sloga Doboj - Borac Banja Luka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

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