Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 17
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	17:45	Disney+


	Shamrock Rovers		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.77	3.4	4.33
	1.85	3.5	4.3
	1.84	3.54	4.66
	1.84	3.58	4.13	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.85	3.69	4.43
	1.85	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4.39 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
51.9%

Draw
26.7%

The New Saints
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	12.5%	3.1%

Shamrock Rovers - The New Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 2. Honohan J. 7. Watts D. 8. McEneff A. 19. Poom M. 21. Burns D. 23. Farrugia N. 24. Kenny J.	25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 6. Bodenham J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 8. Brobbel R. 21. Smith L. 14. Williams D. 18. Holden R. 9. McManus D. 17. Williams J.
Substitutes
10. Burke G. 29. Byrne J. 18. Clarke T. 9. Greene A. 41. Noonan A. (G) 34. Noonan C. 15. Nugent D. 16. O'Neill G. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G)	24. Baker A. 20. Bradley S. 27. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 33. Doforo N. 30. Edwards J. (G) 39. Jones T. 16. McGahey H. 2. Pask J. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.
Coaches
Bradley S.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Williams J. ⚽, McManus D. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Kenny J. ⚽, Farrugia N. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Watts D. ⚽, Burns D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', McEneff A. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
70', Burns D. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
73', Cleary D. 🟨,
75', Holden R. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
80', Kenny J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
83', Williams J. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
85', Watts D. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
85', Poom M. ↓, O'Neill G. ↑,
87', Davies D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Shamrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shamrock is a favorite.

There are questionable in Shamrock: Gaffney R. (Injury)

There are questionable in TNS: Astles R. (Injury) Olosunde M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
01.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Larne - Shamrock Rovers	1:4 ✺
Irish Premier Division
18.10.24	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
02.11.24	Barry Town United - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
30.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Aberystwyth Town - The New Saints	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	The New Saints - Astana	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

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