Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
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Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
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Ireland	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Laos	beIN Connect
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Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
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South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Rapid Wien		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.28	5.5	11	Watch
	1.28	5.57	10.85
	1.26	5.63	10.58	Watch
	1.22	5.8	9.5
	1.27	6	11.9
	1.28	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	5.64 ↑ (4.4)	11.12 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
74.8%

Draw
16.7%

Shamrock Rovers
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.2%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.2%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapid Wien's performance.

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	5.3%	0%

Rapid Wien - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux Yao S. 23. Auer J. 18. Seidl M. (C) 8. Grgic L. 17. Sangare M. 21. Schaub L. 7. Beljo D. 9. Burgstaller G.	1. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 2. Honohan J. 7. Watts D. 16. O'Neill G. 19. Poom M. 21. Burns D. 24. Kenny J. 23. Farrugia N.
Substitutes
27. Bischof N. 3. Bockle B. 16. Borkeeiet T. 19. Gale T. 25. Gartler P. (G) 51. Goschl B. (G) 20. Hofmann M. 24. Kaygin D. 10. Lang C. 28. Oswald M. 4. Scholler J. M. 48. Wurmbrand N.	37. Britton M. 29. Byrne J. 18. Clarke T. 11. Kavanagh S. 41. Noonan A. (G) 34. Noonan C. 15. Nugent D. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Klaus R.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Cvetkovic N. ⚽, Sangare M. (A),
30', Kenny J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Watts D. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Kenny J. ⚽, Honohan J. (A),
67', Burgstaller G. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
67', Schaub L. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
71', Poom M. 🟨,
75', Pohls L. 🟨,
75', O'Neill G. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
88', Seidl M. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
88', Burns D. ↓, Clarke T. ↑,
88', Watts D. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
90+4', Cleary D. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Rapid is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shamrock is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Rapid have a series of guest games.

In this match Rapid is certain favorite.

There will not play in Rapid: Druijf F. (Knee Injury) Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury) Zimmermann B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shamrock: Gaffney R. (Injury) Hoare S. (Injury) Mandroiu D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rapid: Beljo D. (Knock) Bolla B. (Muscle Injury) Seydi I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Kavanagh S. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.24	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rapid Wien - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Rapid Wien	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.24	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.24	Stripfing - Rapid Wien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTL
- Shamrock Rovers
Club Friendly
21.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - HJK	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - The New Saints	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Larne - Shamrock Rovers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

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