Match Info

FAI Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	St. Mochtas		Dundalk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.50	6.00	1.20
	11.00	6.10	1.17
	9.10	6.00	1.19
	50.00	19.03	1.00	Watch
	8.85	5.70	1.15
	9.95	5.95	1.20	Watch
	10.00	6.00	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.49 ↑ (7.75)	7.83 ↑ (5)	1.15 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mochtas
6.1%

Draw
12.1%

Dundalk
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mochtas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Mochtas's form might have worsened.

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundalk's recent form is better than expected.

St. Mochtas - Dundalk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Tracey S. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Clarke T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 3, Groome H. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Morgan D. ⚽,

Preview

Dundalk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Mochtas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dundalk is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Mochtas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mochtas FC
Irish FAI Cup
15.05.26	Wayside Celtic - St. Mochtas	3:4 ✺
18.07.25	Waterford - St. Mochtas	5:1 ✺
17.05.25	St. Mochtas - Douglas Hall	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.24	St Patricks Athletic - St. Mochtas	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
27.08.21	Dundalk - St. Mochtas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Dundalk FC
Irish Premier Division
10.07.26	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Shelbourne - Dundalk	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Dundalk - Waterford	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Galway United - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish FAI Cup
27.08.21	Dundalk - St. Mochtas	5:1

St. Mochtas - Dundalk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide