Match Info

Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Dundalk		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.80	4.40
	1.62	3.8	4.95
	1.71	4.1	5.5
	1.66	3.95	5.06	Watch
	1.61	3.95	5.3
	1.64	3.9	4.98	Watch
	1.61	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	3.88 ↓ (4.27)	5.03 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
57.3%

Draw
24.1%

Drogheda United
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	14.8%	0%

Dundalk - Drogheda United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 4. Animasahun M. 24. Cornwall R. 3. Burns B. 31. Wilson J. 18. Buckley K. 6. Dervin A. 22. Wilson T. 7. Horgan D. (C) 11. Teahan R. 9. Arubi G.	1. Dennison L. (G) 2. Agbaje E. 22. Keeley C. 5. Burney L. 7. Bucknor J. 17. Farrell S. 19. Brennan R. (C) 3. Kane C. 10. Kavanagh B. 11. Oluwa T. 14. Doyle M.
Substitutes
13. Cherrie P. (G) 15. Clarke T. 10. Gaxha L. 8. Groome H. 27. McDaid D. 12. Mulligan L. 20. Safaei S. (G) 19. Spaight S. 17. Tracey S.	18. Bolger J. 28. Brady S. 29. Brennan J. 6. Godden J. 15. Kareem D. 32. Mare D. 25. Markey R. 33. McGrath S. 44. Talley F. (G)
Coaches
Kilduff C.	Doherty K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Arubi G. ⚽,
45+4', Kilduff C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Burney L. ↓, Bolger J. ↑,
50', Bucknor J. 🟨,
63', Buckley K. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
63', Wilson T. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
63', Wilson J. ↓, Clarke T. ↑,
69', Clarke T. 🟨,
70', Kavanagh B. ↓, Godden J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Farrell S. ⚽,
76', Doyle M. ↓, Markey R. ↑,
80', Animasahun M. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Farrell S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1.

Dundalk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Drogheda United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Dundalk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Dundalk: Garbett N. (Hamstring Injury) Mullen D. (Inactive) O'Keeffe C. (Injury) Warren H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Drogheda United: Cruise K. (Injury) Davis W. (Injury) Lambe O. (Knee Injury) Quinn A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	50:55	-5	41
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	38:51	-13	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Shelbourne - Dundalk	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Dundalk - Waterford	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Galway United - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Dundalk - Derry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWW
- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Drogheda United - Bohemians Dublin	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Derry City - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Drogheda United - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Drogheda United - Waterford	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
22.05.26	Drogheda United - Dundalk	1:1
20.02.26	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1:1
Club Friendly
31.01.25	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1:0
Irish Premier Division
01.11.24	Drogheda United - Dundalk	0:0
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.24	Drogheda United - Dundalk	2:1
Irish Premier Division
12.07.24	Dundalk - Drogheda United	4:2
06.05.24	Drogheda United - Dundalk	2:1

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