Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV
Portugal	Canal 11
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ararat-Armenia		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.40
	2.12	3.35	3.20	Watch
	2.14	3.23	3.73
	2.21	3.19	3.36	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.70
	2.17	3.38	3.38	Watch
	2.19	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	3.24 ↓ (3.55)	3.42 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
43.7%

Draw
28.9%

Shamrock Rovers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamrock Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	12%	24%

Ararat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat-Armenia: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ararat-Armenia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shamrock (1.65) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ararat-Armenia (votes: 2 - 50%). Shamrock (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 13. Hovhannisyan K. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R. 3. Junior Julio 14. Pereira B. 20. Tera A. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 2. Oliveira H. 77. Serobyan A. 91. Sandro Lima 7. Shaghoyan Z.	1. McGinty E. (G) 5. Grace L. 4. Lopes R. (C) 27. O'Sullivan C. 22. Sobowale T. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 19. Brennan A. 9. Greene A. 10. Burke G.
Substitutes
90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 11. Banjaqui Z. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 47. Malis A. 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G)	18. Afolabi J. 15. Asamoah M. 33. Barrett C. 38. Kovalevskis M. 2. Matthews A. 11. Mulraney J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 17. O'Regan L. 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N. 3. Stevens E.
Coaches
Tulipa	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Grace L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Sandro Lima ⚽,
60', Pereira B. ↓, Carlier M. ↑,
65', Tera A. ↓, Banjaqui Z. ↑,
65', Shaghoyan Z. ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
67', Grace L. ↓, O'Regan L. ↑,
67', Greene A. ↓, Afolabi J. ↑,
67', Brennan A. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
75', Hovhannisyan K. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
76', Serobyan A. ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Banjaqui Z. ⚽, Franca Carlos (A),
81', Healy M. 🟨,
89', Afolabi J. 🟨,
89', Junior Julio 🟨,
90+1', Byrne J. ↓, Razi N. ↑,
90+5', Banjaqui Z. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Shamrock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ararat-Armenia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Riga - Ararat-Armenia	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	Ararat-Armenia - Riga	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
27.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 AET ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Floriana	5:1 ✺
07.07.26	Floriana - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

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