Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Shabake 3


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Foolad Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.78	2.58
	2.76	2.72	2.56
	3.03	2.77	2.64	Watch
	2.89	2.7	2.54	Watch
	2.57	2.73	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.57)	2.74 ↑ (2.73)	2.61 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
32.1%

Draw
33.2%

Foolad Khuzestan
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

33.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Foolad Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Shams Azar Qazvin - Foolad Khuzestan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jafarpour A. (G) 33. Rabizadeh H. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 6. Mohebi S. 3. Mohammadi M. 80. Aghamohammadi M. 11. Shojaeian D. 8. Bahiraei H. 17. Mamizadeh M. 48. Sourgi M. 9. Fadakar S.	81. Lak H. (G) 69. Rezaeian R. 24. Ghoreishi M. 6. Nemati A. 2. Razzaqpour A. 8. Asadbeigi S. 17. Sarabadani A. M. 80. Ahmadzadeh F. 11. Soleimani M. 3. Ansari S. 9. Mahrooghi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Mahrooghi E. ⚽, Ansari S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Shojaeian D. ↓, Goudarzi K. ↑,
65', Aghamohammadi M. ↓, Mohkamkar A. ↑,
70', Soleimani M. ↓, Bagheri A. ↑,
71', Asadbeigi S. ↓, Jolani A. ↑,
81', Ansari S. ↓, Moridi S. ↑,
82', Ahmadzadeh F. ↓, Akbarzadeh A. ↑,
84', Fadakar S. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
84', Bahiraei H. ↓, Moazemitabar S. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+9', 0 - 2, Mahrooghi E. ⚽, Rezaeian R. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Shams Azar Qazvin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Foolad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Foolad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Foolad	6	2	3	1	5:3	2	9
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	7	1	2	4	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
20.02.26	Fajr Sepasi - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Paykan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWW
- Foolad Khuzestan FC
Iran Pro League
21.02.26	Foolad Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Foolad Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	3:1 ✺
02.02.26	Kheybar Khorramabad - Foolad Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Foolad Khuzestan - Persepolis	3:1 ✺
22.01.26	Malavan - Foolad Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1
18.04.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0
13.12.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Foolad Khuzestan	0:3
12.04.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0
27.10.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1

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