Match Info

Date: 3 September 2020, Thursday


	Shandong Taishan		Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.05
	2.28	3.52	3.1
	2.2	3.3	3	Watch
	2.38	3.62	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
42.2%

Draw
27%

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

20%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.4%	15.6%	50%

Shandong Taishan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Jiangsu Sainty will win (votes: 16 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangsu Sainty: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Super League (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Super League (Play Offs)).

Shandong Luneng has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Jiangsu Sainty has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shandong Luneng is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jiangsu Sainty is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jiangsu Sainty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Shandong Luneng won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Shandong Luneng won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
29.08.20	Shandong Taishan - Dalian Pro	0:1 ✺
25.08.20	Guangzhou City - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
19.08.20	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
09.08.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW
- Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
Chinese Super League
30.08.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Henan Songshan Longmen	5:2 ✺
24.08.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
20.08.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	2:1 ✺
14.08.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
09.08.20	Guangzhou City - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
31.07.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shandong Taishan	0:0
27.10.19	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shandong Taishan	1:1
01.06.19	Shandong Taishan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
29.05.19	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shandong Taishan	0:1
Chinese Super League
07.11.18	Shandong Taishan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	3:2
28.07.18	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shandong Taishan	1:1
09.09.17	Shandong Taishan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:0

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