Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 31

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	12	6	1.22	Watch
	12	5.5	1.22
	9	5.15	1.3
	13	5.8	1.21
	12.97	6.08	1.23
	12	5	1.22
	12.5	5.85	1.22
	12	5.4	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.93 ↓ (16)	5.6 ↓ (8.3)	1.23 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
7.8%

Draw
16.6%

Shandong Taishan
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

82.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	5.8%	59.6%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 18 - 34.6%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 31 - 59.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 46.3% – 72.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Shandong Taishan has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 51, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 2.

Guangzhou Evergrande is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shandong Taishan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shandong Taishan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shandong Taishan is indisputable favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
10.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
05.12.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
01.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTLTL
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
09.12.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan	1:1 ✺
30.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan	5:0 ✺
21.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
24.10.22	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:0
27.07.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan	2:1
27.04.21	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0
13.09.20	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2
09.08.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan	0:1
03.08.19	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:3
AFC Champions League
25.06.19	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:3 penalties

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