Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Hongkou Stadium (Shanghai)


	Shanghai Shenhua		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9
	1.4	4.2	6.25
	1.36	4.3	8.5
	1.35	4.3	9.2
	1.4	4.29	9.91
	1.38	4	8
	1.4	4.4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.28 ↑ (4.25)	8.48 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
67.3%

Draw
21.7%

Guangzhou Evergrande
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 30, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 1.

Shanghai Shenhua in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shanghai Shenhua to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 18-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Shenhua won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
20.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:0 ✺
16.06.22	Hebei CFFC - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
12.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
08.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Shanghai Port	2:0 ✺
03.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
19.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Hebei CFFC	1:0 ✺
15.06.22	Shanghai Port - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
11.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuhan	0:1 ✺
07.06.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Guangzhou Evergrande	6:0 ✺
03.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
03.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
30.08.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4
25.07.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0
01.12.19	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	3:0
01.07.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:3
02.09.18	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1
13.04.18	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2

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