Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Shanghai Shenhua		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.38	3.84	2.02
	3.19	3.88	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.91
	3.36	3.83	2.05	Watch
	3.14	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.62)	3.78 ↑ (3.57)	2 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
28.4%

Draw
24.8%

Machida Zelvia
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.2%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	7.7%	80.8%

Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Machida Zelvia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 23. Ke L. 18. Rafael Ratao 15. Wu Xi (C) 10. Teixeira J. 29. Gueye M. 11. Saulo Mineiro	1. Tani K. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. (C) 26. Hayashi K. 19. Nakayama Y. 31. Lavi N. 88. Nakamura H. 7. Soma Y. 10. Na Sang-Ho 9. Fujio S.
Substitutes
17. Gao Tianyi 45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 34. Liu Chengyu 24. Ma Zhen (G) 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Q. 14. Xie Pengfei 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang	44. Arai Y. (G) 28. Cha Je-Hoon 5. Dresevic I. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 60. Mayaka C. 13. Morita T. (G) 22. Numata T. 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.
Coaches
Slutski L.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Jin Shunkai 🟨,
3', 0 - 1, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Gueye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Ke L. ↓, Gao Tianyi ↑,
73', Fujio S. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
77', Gueye M. ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
80', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
80', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Soma Y. ⚽, Kuwayama K. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Machida Zelvia is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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