Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 3

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Bulgaria	14:15	Nova Sport
China	20:15	Migu
Croatia	13:15	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Hong Kong	20:15	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	17:45	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	19:15	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	14:15	Sport 4
Japan	21:15	DAZN Japan
Macao	20:15	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	20:15	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	17:15	Tapmad
Russia	15:15	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Singapore	20:15	meWATCH
Slovenia	13:15	SportKlub 1
South Korea	21:15	Coupang Play
Ukraine	14:15	Sport 1
Usa	08:15	beIN Connect
International	12:15	Sport 1 Baltic


	Shanghai Shenhua		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.65
	3.90	3.70	1.68
	4.02	4.43	1.71
	4.7	4.24	1.62	Watch
	3.95	4.35	1.69
	4.27	3.95	1.72	Watch
	4.05	3.80	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.29)	4.02 ↑ (3.45)	1.67 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
22.2%

Draw
22.9%

Machida Zelvia
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Ma Zhen (G) 13. Manafa W. 16. Yang Zexiang 4. Jiang Shenglong 26. Yang Shuai 21. Xu Haoyang 19. Asue L. 33. Wang Haijian (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 9. Rafael Ratao 10. Teixeira J.	1. Tani K. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 24. Kim Min-Tae 5. Dresevic I. 88. Nakamura H. 23. Shirasaki R. 18. Shimoda H. (C) 34. Tokumura F. 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 3. Jin Shunkai 6. Li Songyi 2. Wang Shilong 30. Xie Pengfei 1. Xue Qinghao (G) 43. Yang Haoyu	33. Akimoto T. 89. Guimaraes N. (G) 16. Mae H. 79. Mikuni K. E. 13. Morita T. (G) 9. Ogawa K. 2. Ouwejan T. 3. Shoji G. 7. Soma Y.
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Shirasaki R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Nishimura T. ↓, Akimoto T. ↑,
63', Duke M. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
72', Mochizuki H. ↓, Ouwejan T. ↑,
72', Shimoda H. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
74', Teixeira J. ↓, Xie Pengfei ↑,
74', Gao Tianyi ↓, Jin Shunkai ↑,
77', Xie Pengfei 🟨,
80', Asue L. ↓, Han Jiawen ↑,
82', Sento K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
82', Jiang Shenglong ↓, Li Songyi ↑,

Preview

Shanghai Shenhua has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Machida Zelvia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Machida Zelvia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Machida Zelvia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shanghai Shenhua has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Shanghai Shenhua against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.62%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
24.10.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
15.10.26	Svay Rieng - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
10.10.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Yunnan Yukun	7:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.09.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Zenit	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWT
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
24.10.26	Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
21.10.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	0:5 ✺
18.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
15.10.26	Tampines Rovers - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia	0:2

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