Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday


	Dire Dawa City		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.51	3.02	2.04
	3.9	3.2	1.75
	3.38	3.06	2.11
	3.6	3.05	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.1)	3.07 ↑ (3)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
25.2%

Draw
29.4%

Defence Force
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

30.3%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

29.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Dire Dawa City - Defence Force Predictions

Users Predictions: Defence Force will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kassaye A. (G) 20. Abdul Latif M. 9. Ahmed E. 12. Anjaw H. 28. Ashamo E. 2. Dagmawi A. 11. Damtew C. 23. Ganiyu I. 6. Legesse I. 7. Mussa M. 10. Tadesse Y. (C)	1. Alionzi N. (G) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 19. Disasa G. 20. Girma B. (C) 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 28. NNamdi C. 15. Tamene A.
Substitutes
4. Asebe A. 17. Dereje W. 8. Getachew S. 5. Hamu T. 16. Hassen H. 24. Kedir A. 49. Mehdi F. 22. Meki A. 25. Muslege C. 14. Sultan S. 27. Teshome D. (G) 44. Zeray G.	23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 12. Dawiti Y. 6. Hagos G. 27. Hailemariam B. 34. Hailu N. 4. Ketema D. 26. Mohammed I. 37. Muhaba A. 47. Ofisa M. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Dire Dawa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defence Force in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Defence Force is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dire Dawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dire Dawa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
11.01.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:3 ✺
15.12.23	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Sidama Coffee - Dire Dawa City	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWT
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.01.24	Defence Force - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Saint George - Defence Force	1:1 ✺
14.12.23	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
08.12.23	Defence Force - Adama City	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.05.23	Defence Force - Dire Dawa City	2:1
10.11.22	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:1
23.05.22	Defence Force - Dire Dawa City	0:0
31.01.22	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:0

Dire Dawa City - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide