Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday


	Defence Force		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.85
	2.41	2.68	2.74
	2.37	2.84	2.75
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	2.48	2.68	3.13
	2.5	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2)	2.84 ↓ (3.18)	2.98 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
38.2%

Draw
31.6%

Fasil Kenema
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defence Force's form might have worsened.

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defence Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Defence Force - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 20. Girma B. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)	1. Samake N. (G) 2. Awol M. 10. Dagnachew S. 4. Debebe M. 8. Endeshaw Y. 14. Fisseha Y. 19. Gugsa S. 9. Kebede G. (C) 15. Panom G. 21. Tilahun A. 7. Zelalem K.
Substitutes
23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 16. Belachew T. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 4. Ketema D. 26. Mohammed I. 13. Negsh A. 28. NNamdi C. 47. Ofisa M. 30. Tefera D. (G) 44. Wondimu D.	30. Ayeru M. (G) 22. Derso Y. (G) 17. Endale A. 24. Eyayu A. 32. Fitsum D. 18. Gebregiorgis N. 6. Mamo E. 28. Masresha N. 33. Mulu J. 16. Yidnekachew K. (G)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 5).

Defence Force in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fasil Kenema is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fasil Kenema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defence Force will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:3 ✺
10.01.24	Defence Force - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Saint George - Defence Force	1:1 ✺
14.12.23	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
08.12.23	Defence Force - Adama City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
18.01.24	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	0:1 ✺
12.01.24	Wolkite Kenema - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
05.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:3 ✺
15.12.23	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	1:2 ✺
07.12.23	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
16.04.23	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:1
21.10.22	Fasil Kenema - Defence Force	0:1
18.05.22	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	1:2
21.12.21	Fasil Kenema - Defence Force	1:0
25.01.17	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	2:2

Defence Force - Fasil Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide