Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: Teixeira L. (And)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Shelbourne		St Josephs

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	7.5	Watch
	1.28	5.25	9
	1.28	5	10	Watch
	1.26	5.7	11.51
	1.31	4.99	9.73	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.29	5.3	9.85	Watch
	1.28	5.2	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	5.18 ↑ (4.92)	9.56 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
72.5%

Draw
17.9%

St Josephs
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

St Josephs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Shelbourne - St Josephs Predictions

Users Predictions: Shelbourne will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kearns C. (G) 2. Gannon S. 29. Barrett P. 4. Ledwidge K. 3. Wilson T. 67. Burt L. 8. Coyle M. (C) 6. Lunney J. 36. Jarvis W. 11. Smith M. 10. Martin J.	13. Navas A. (G) 10. Rey A. 4. Paul J. 2. Jolley E. 20. Cardozo G. 23. Alvarez F. 11. Walker L. 22. Juanma (C) 6. Sanchez M. 3. Olivero J. 9. Rodriguez Moreno P.
Substitutes
15. Bone S. 9. Boyd S. 27. Caffrey E. 14. Coote A. 5. Griffin S. 19. Healy L. (G) 43. Isong M. 16. O'Sullivan J. 50. Topcu A. (G) 20. Ward K. 22. Williams D. 7. Wood H.	12. Aznar Fernandez C. 1. Banda B. (G) 14. Barnett E. 8. Bauti 19. Borge D. 15. Juanfri 7. Lucas Gaucho 30. Paz G. (G) 21. Pons A. 5. Rosa M.
Coaches
Duff D.	Paz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Coyle M. ⚽, Jarvis W. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Paul J. ⚽, Walker L. (A),
45+1', Rodriguez Moreno P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Smith M. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Jarvis W. (Pen),
59', Burt L. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
59', Martin J. ↓, Wood H. ↑,
63', Alvarez F. ↓, Aznar Fernandez C. ↑,
63', Rodriguez Moreno P. ↓, Juanfri ↑,
69', Paul J. ↓, Pons A. ↑,
74', Coyle M. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
85', Jolley E. ↓, Rosa M. ↑,
85', Rey A. ↓, Bauti ↑,
89', Jarvis W. ↓, Bone S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Shelbourne is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shelbourne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shelbourne is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
04.07.24	Drogheda United - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
28.06.24	Shelbourne - Galway United	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Waterford - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
07.06.24	Shelbourne - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWL
- St Josephs FC
Gibraltar National League
28.04.24	St Josephs - Magpies	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Europa Point - St Josephs	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Mons Calpe - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	St Josephs - Mons Calpe	1:2 ✺
Gibraltar Cup
07.04.24	St Josephs - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL

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