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Current Win Probability
Shelbourne 65.1%
Draw 21%
Waterford 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69%
18.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
17.7%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shelbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Shelbourne - Waterford Predictions
Users Predictions:
Shelbourne will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shelbourne will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Speel W. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 15. Bone S. 29. Barrett P. (C) 4. Ledwidge K. 27. Caffrey E. 14. Coote A. 6. Lunney J. 7. Wood H. 36. Jarvis W. 20. Freitas R.
1. McMullan S. (G) 2. Houston J. 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 3. Couto B. 15. Heeney L. 27. McMenamy D. 4. Johnson W. 18. Lonergan T. 9. Amond P. (C)
Substitutes
9. Boyd S. 5. Chapman E. 2. Gannon S. 24. Ibsen Rossi Z. 17. Kelly D. 28. Lundgren M. 22. Moore S. 11. Odubeko M. 31. Walsh C. (G)
6. Barrett C. 7. Carty C. 14. Dempsey J. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 19. Glenfield S. 22. Mansfield R. 10. Noonan C. 20. Voilas J.
Coaches
O'Brien J.
Coughlan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Heeney L. 🟨,
31', Couto B. 🟨,
34', Bone S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Jarvis W. ⚽, Wood H. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Ledwidge K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Jarvis W. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
61', Freitas R. ↓, Odubeko M. ↑,
61', Mbeng M. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
70', Heeney L. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
72', McMenamy D. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
79', Coote A. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,
80', Caffrey E. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
81', Johnson W. 🟨,
85', Amond P. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
86', Lonergan T. ↓, Noonan C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Boyd S. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shelbourne is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Shelbourne: Casey O.
(Injury)
Martin J.
(Yellow Cards)
McInroy K.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Waterford: McLaughlin E.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
Ireland
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Speel W. (G) 
Mbeng M. 
Bone S. 
Barrett P. (C) 
Coote A. 
Freitas R. 
McMullan S. (G) 
Lundgren M. 
Faria J. 
Voilas J. 
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