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Current Win Probability
Shelbourne 74.6%
Draw 15.8%
Sligo Rovers 9.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.4%
22.4%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
16%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.
Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-27.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sligo Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Beach E. (G) 16. Casey O. 17. Kelly D. 4. Ledwidge K. 25. Mbeng M. 21. Henry-Francis J. 23. McInroy K. (C) 18. Norris J. 22. Moore S. 11. Odubeko M. 27. Caffrey E.
1. Hughes L. (G) 51. Gabbidon A. 52. McElroy G. 16. McHugh C. (C) 3. Stewart S. 6. Young L. 50. Gillespie R. 10. Meekison A. 14. McManus J. 7. Shorrock J. 41. Woolery K.
Substitutes
15. Bone S. 9. Boyd S. 14. Coote A. 36. Jarvis W. 10. Martin J. 44. Ring D. 55. Roche J. 24. Untergrabner M. 31. Walsh C. (G)
61. Cannon C. 15. Denham O. 11. Kavanagh C. 60. McGarvey C. (G) 71. Patton D. 9. Pearce L. 4. Quirk S. 48. Ruane-Dalton R. 77. Zefi K.
Coaches
Russell J.
Purse D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kelly D. ⚽, Odubeko M. (A),
27', Woolery K. 🟨,
28', Henry-Francis J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Woolery K. ⚽, Shorrock J. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Odubeko M. ⚽, Caffrey E. (A),
52', Odubeko M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Martin J. ⚽, Kelly D. (A),
55', Casey O. 🟨,
57', 4 - 1, Mbeng M. ⚽,
59', McManus J. ↓, Patton D. ↑,
59', Meekison A. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
59', 5 - 1, Martin J. ⚽, Kelly D. (A),
60', Gillespie R. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
61', Mbeng M. 🟨,
64', Mbeng M. ↓, Untergrabner M. ↑,
64', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
65', Gabbidon A. ↓, Zefi K. ↑,
76', Norris J. ↓, Roche J. ↑,
76', Kelly D. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
76', Young L. 🟨,
81', Woolery K. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
85', Moore S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
Shelbourne has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sligo Rovers is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sligo Rovers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Shelbourne holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Shelbourne: Lunney J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Sligo Rovers: Hakiki J.
(Foot Injury)
Reynolds C.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Shelbourne: Beach E.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sligo Rovers: Esua J.
(Inactive)
George T.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shelbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
International
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Beach E. (G) 
Casey O. 
Kelly D. 
Mbeng M. 
McInroy K. (C) 
Norris J. 
Untergrabner M. 
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