Match Info

Yi League - Round 15

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen		Ganzhou Ruishi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.37	3.98	9.73
	1.46	3.9	7.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.25)	7.56 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
63.3%

Draw
24.5%

Ganzhou Ruishi
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.

Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ganzhou Ruishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ganzhou Ruishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shenzhen - Ganzhou Ruishi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ganzhou Ruishi (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shenzhen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 50%). Ganzhou Ruishi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 44. Luo Kaisa 55. Huang Keqi 46. Li Mingjie 61. Luan Cheng 47. Huang Z. 59. Chen W. 54. Wang Zhiyuan 53. Shi Z. (C) 57. Wang Ziyang	42. Yang Xinyang (G) 22. Li Yan 56. Liu Guanjun 3. Wang Duolin 4. Huang Yuxuan 24. Yang Yixuan 46. Liu Shuai 10. Wang Jinpeng 8. Liao Haochuan (C) 6. Feng Zeyuan 11. Yan Tianyi
Substitutes
64. Chen Z. 68. Deng Z. 66. Hai J. 52. Hao M. (G) 42. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 58. Li J. 56. Li P. 62. Liu Q. 60. Luo Wenqi 65. Ruoke Xiang 50. Zhu X.	1. Cao Zheng (G) 15. Han Mufan 27. Li Jiahao 21. Lu Yuefeng 47. Pang Tong 55. Tang Gumiao (G) 7. Wei Zhenghong 49. Wu Xinze 58. Yu Keli 23. Zhang Peiming
Coaches
Sugiura D.	Stancic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yan Tianyi ↓, Wei Zhenghong ↑,
56', Yang Xinyang 🟨,
63', 🟨,
66', Li Yan ↓, Wu Xinze ↑,
66', Feng Zeyuan ↓, Yu Keli ↑,
68', Yu Keli 🟨,
71', Wang Ziyang ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
71', Shi Z. ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑,
87', Wang Jinpeng ↓, Pang Tong ↑,
89', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
90+7', Liu Guanjun ↓, Zhang Peiming ↑,
90+8', Huang Keqi 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Shenzhen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ganzhou Ruishi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shenzhen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shenzhen is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Shenzhen will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Yi League
13.06.25	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Shenzhen	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Shenzhen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTWW
- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
14.06.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Kunming City	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
08.04.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen	1:1

Shenzhen - Ganzhou Ruishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide