Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 28

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Shenzhen		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.92
	4.18	3.17	1.9
	4.02	3.3	1.89	Watch
	2.48	3.1	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.48)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	2.07 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
25.8%

Draw
29.3%

Wuxi Wugou
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen's form might have worsened.

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuxi Wugou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Yuan J. (G) 61. Luan Cheng 64. Chen Z. 66. Hai J. 67. Li L. 45. Yuan Z. 46. Li Mingjie 47. Huang Z. 48. Zhong Wen 54. Wang Zhiyuan 59. Chen W.	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 40. Liu Zhizhi 27. He Wei 5. Lin Jiahao 26. Gou J. 3. Xie Xiaofan 23. Dong Kaining 8. Tursun Qeyser 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 56. Gao Jingchun 22. Beshathan Zanhar
Substitutes
68. Deng Z. 52. Hao M. (G) 42. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 62. Liu Q. 51. Lu C. 44. Luo Kaisa 60. Luo Wenqi 65. Ruoke Xiang 53. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 50. Zhu X.	7. Fu Hao 29. Gong Hankui 48. Hongxiang S. 37. Li Guihao 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 15. Mao Ziyu 30. Men Yang 50. Qian Junhao 2. Shang K. 18. Wen Wubin 16. Xu Chunqing 51. Zhao Yi
Coaches
Wang Baoshan	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Chen Z. ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
32', Zhu Yueqi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Zhong Wen ⚽, Yuan Z. (A),
58', Li L. ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑,
58', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Tursun Qeyser ⚽,
68', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Qian Junhao ↑,
73', Huang Z. ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
73', Li Mingjie ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑,
77', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Shang K. ↑,
77', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Xu Chunqing ↑,
81', Hai J. ↓, Hu H. ↑,
88', Gao Jingchun ↓, Gong Hankui ↑,
90+13', Shang K. 🟨,
90+14', He Wei 🟨,
90+18', 2 - 1, Zhong Wen (Pen),

Preview

Shenzhen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wuxi Wugou is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wuxi Wugou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Yi League
28.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Shenzhen - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Yi League
29.09.25	Wuxi Wugou - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Wuxi Wugou	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.08.25	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen	2:0

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